🇺🇸 United StatesLABOUR

Unemployment Claims

Initial unemployment benefit claims · United States.

Thursday 22 October14:30 CEST / 15:30 Kyiv

Reference period: 2026-10-17

ACTUAL—Before publication

FORECAST200KPre-release expectation

PREVIOUS199KPrevious value

01 / WHY IT MATTERS

What changes for traders

Rising claims indicate a cooling labour market and may increase expectations of Fed easing.

DXYEURUSDGoldUS100

02 / SCENARIOS

Pre-release scenarios

ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

More claims than expected support the case for a cooling labour market and a more dovish Fed, potentially weighing on USD.

BELOW EXPECTATIONS

Fewer claims suggest a more resilient labour market than expected, potentially supporting USD.

Next step

The four-week average, continuing claims and the next employment report.

03 / RELEASE HISTORY

Previous results

The same indicator and country

Release datePeriodActualForecastActual − Forecast

15/10/202610.2026199K199K0 K

08/10/202610.2026197K200K-3 K

01/10/202609.2026197K201K-4 K

24/09/202609.2026197K201K-4 K

17/09/202609.2026196K207K-11 K

10/09/202609.2026207K205K+2 K

03/09/202608.2026207K205K+2 K

27/08/202608.2026204K208K-4 K

20/08/202608.2026207K210K-3 K

13/08/202608.2026212K202K+10 K

06/08/202608.2026200K203K-3 K

30/07/202607.2026198K201K-3 K

Period is the report month. Actual − Forecast measures deviation from expectations. pp means percentage points.

About the historical data

Forecast comes from a historical calendar or a pre-release capture. Actual may include subsequent revisions. A dash means no confirmed figure is available. Historical tables were retrieved after the releases and do not establish when a forecast first became available.

Figures and status update automatically after the release is confirmed.Other events