Back to the trading day Drivers Markets What’s Next Updates automatically every 20 seconds. Calendar: Sunday 18 October, 23:23 CEST.
Currency All currencies USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
Last 7 days · up to 12 releases · newest first. These are macroeconomic considerations, not measurements of price moves that have already occurred.
INFLATION · In line with forecast
🇪🇺 EUR · Friday 16 October · 11:00 CEST Final Core CPI y/y
Actual 2.5%
Forecast 2.5%
Previous 2.5% Period: 2026-09
Release analysis Published inflation readings match consensus. For EUR, this part of the report provides no new reason to revise ECB rate expectations. Post-release quotes are needed to assess the reaction.
Next check: Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations. Also compare the final estimate with the preliminary reading.
Data and history INFLATION · In line with forecast
🇪🇺 EUR · Friday 16 October · 11:00 CEST Final CPI y/y
Actual 3.8%
Forecast 3.8%
Previous 3.8% Period: 2026-09
Release analysis Published inflation readings match consensus. For EUR, this part of the report provides no new reason to revise ECB rate expectations. Post-release quotes are needed to assess the reaction.
Next check: Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations. Also compare the final estimate with the preliminary reading.
Data and history LABOUR · In line with forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST Unemployment Claims
Actual 199K
Forecast 199K
Previous 197K Period: 2026-10-10
Release analysis Official series archive as of the update date. Actual and historical Previous may include later revisions.
Next check: The four-week average, continuing claims and the next employment report.
Data and history DEMAND · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST Core Retail Sales m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 0.9%
Forecast 0.6%
Previous · revised 1.4% Why we follow it Consumer demand helps assess economic resilience and the likelihood of a rate change.
Next check: Sales excluding volatile categories, the control group and revisions.
Data and history DEMAND · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST Retail Sales m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 0.8%
Forecast 0.3%
Previous · revised 1.3% Why we follow it Consumer demand helps assess economic resilience and the likelihood of a rate change.
Next check: Sales excluding volatile categories, the control group and revisions.
Data and history INFLATION · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST Core PPI m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 0.7%
Forecast 0.3%
Previous 0.2% Why we follow it Shows price pressure before the consumer level. Details may change expectations for the next inflation report.
Next check: Report components, revisions and changes in rate expectations after release.
Data and history INFLATION · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST PPI m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 1.3%
Forecast 0.6%
Previous 0.4% Why we follow it Shows price pressure before the consumer level. Details may change expectations for the next inflation report.
Next check: Report components, revisions and changes in rate expectations after release.
Data and history MACRO · Below forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Thursday 15 October · 14:30 CEST Philly Fed Manufacturing Index Time requires confirmation
Actual 20.9
Forecast 28.2
Previous 37.8 Why we follow it The result changes the assessment of the economy and the central bank's future policy.
Next check: Report components, revisions and changes in rate expectations after release.
Data and history GROWTH · Above forecast
🇬🇧 GBP · Thursday 15 October · 08:00 CEST GDP m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 0.1%
Forecast -0.1%
Previous 0.4% Why we follow it Indicates demand resilience and the scope for future central bank decisions.
Next check: Consumption, investment and revisions. The composition of growth matters more than one headline.
Data and history MACRO · Confirmed result
🇬🇧 GBP · Thursday 15 October · 08:00 CEST Trade Balance
Actual -0.92B
Forecast —
Previous — Why we follow it The result changes the assessment of the economy and the central bank's future policy.
Next check: Report components, revisions and changes in rate expectations after release.
Data and history INFLATION · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Wednesday 14 October · 14:30 CEST Core CPI m/m Time requires confirmation
Actual 0.3%
Forecast 0.2%
Previous 0.3% Release analysis At least one published reading beat consensus, with none below it. This may support USD through expectations of tighter Fed policy. Post-release quotes are needed to assess the reaction.
Next check: Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations.
Data and history INFLATION · Above forecast
🇺🇸 USD · Wednesday 14 October · 14:30 CEST Core CPI y/y Time requires confirmation
Actual 2.6%
Forecast 2.5%
Previous 2.4% Release analysis At least one published reading beat consensus, with none below it. This may support USD through expectations of tighter Fed policy. Post-release quotes are needed to assess the reaction.
Next check: Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations.
Data and history 