🇺🇸 United StatesINFLATION

Core CPI y/y

Consumer price inflation · United States. Core excludes the most volatile components. Year-on-year change.

Wednesday 14 October14:30 CEST / 15:30 Kyiv

ACTUAL2.6%Above forecast

FORECAST2.5%Pre-release expectation

PREVIOUS2.4%Previous value

01 / WHY IT MATTERS

What changes for traders

At least one published reading beat consensus, with none below it. This may support USD through expectations of tighter Fed policy. Post-release quotes are needed to assess the reaction.

DXYEURUSDGoldUS100

02 / SCENARIOS

How to interpret the result

Above forecast

Above-expected inflation supports the case for tighter policy and for USD. Higher yields may weigh on Gold and US100 valuations.

Next step

Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations.

03 / RELEASE HISTORY

Previous results

The same indicator and country

Release datePeriodActualForecastActual − Forecast

11/09/202608.20262.4%2.4%0 pp

12/08/202607.20262.5%2.5%0 pp

14/07/202606.20262.6%2.8%-0.2 pp

10/06/202605.20262.9%2.9%0 pp

12/05/202604.20262.8%2.7%+0.1 pp

10/04/202603.20262.6%2.7%-0.1 pp

11/03/202602.20262.5%2.5%0 pp

13/02/202601.20262.5%2.5%0 pp

13/01/202612.20252.6%2.7%-0.1 pp

18/12/202511.20252.6%3.0%-0.4 pp

24/10/202509.20253%3.1%-0.1 pp

11/09/202508.20253.1%3.1%0 pp

Period is the report month. Actual − Forecast measures deviation from expectations. pp means percentage points.

About the historical data

Forecast comes from a historical calendar or a pre-release capture. Actual may include subsequent revisions. A dash means no confirmed figure is available. Historical tables were retrieved after the releases and do not establish when a forecast first became available.

Figures and status update automatically after the release is confirmed.Other events