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🇬🇧 United KingdomINFLATION

CPI y/y

Consumer price inflation · United Kingdom. Year-on-year change.

Wednesday 21 October08:00 CEST / 09:00 Kyiv
ACTUAL—Before publication
FORECAST3.4%Pre-release expectation
PREVIOUS3.1%Previous value

01 / WHY IT MATTERS

What changes for traders

More persistent price pressure may delay policy easing. For GBP the surprise relative to the forecast matters.

GBPUSDEURGBP

02 / SCENARIOS

Pre-release scenarios

ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

Above-expected inflation supports the case for tighter policy and for GBP.

BELOW EXPECTATIONS

Below-expected inflation supports the case for policy easing and pressure on GBP.

Next step

Core, services, revisions and the response of rate expectations.

03 / RELEASE HISTORY

Previous results

The same indicator and country
Release datePeriodActualForecastActual − Forecast
16/09/2026—3.1%3.1%0 pp

Period is the report month. Actual − Forecast measures deviation from expectations. pp means percentage points.

About the historical data

Forecast comes from a historical calendar or a pre-release capture. Actual may include subsequent revisions. A dash means no confirmed figure is available. Historical tables were retrieved after the releases and do not establish when a forecast first became available.

Figures and status update automatically after the release is confirmed.Other events